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http://krishi.icar.gov.in/jspui/handle/123456789/60451
Title: | Model and scenario variations in predicted number of generations of Spodopteralitura Fab. on peanut during future climate change scenario |
Other Titles: | Not Available |
Authors: | Srinivasa Rao, M*., Swathi, P., Rama Rao, C.A., Rao, K.V., Raju, B.M.K., Srinivas, K., Manimanjari, D., and Maheswari, M |
ICAR Data Use Licennce: | http://krishi.icar.gov.in/PDF/ICAR_Data_Use_Licence.pdf |
Author's Affiliated institute: | ICAR::Central Research Institute of Dryland Agriculture |
Published/ Complete Date: | 2015 |
Project Code: | Not Available |
Keywords: | Not available |
Publisher: | PLOS ONE |
Citation: | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0116762. 10(2): 1-12. |
Series/Report no.: | Not Available; |
Abstract/Description: | The present study features the estimation of number of generations of tobacco caterpillar, Spodoptera litura. Fab. on peanut crop at six locations in India using MarkSim, which provides General Circulation Model (GCM) of future data on daily maximum (T.max), minimum (T.min) air temperatures from six models viz., BCCR-BCM2.0, CNRM-CM3, CSIRO-Mk3.5, ECHams5, INCM-CM3.0 and MIROC3.2 along with an ensemble of the six from three emission scenarios (A2, A1B and B1). This data was used to predict the future pest scenarios following the growing degree days approach in four different climate periods viz., Baseline- 1975, Near future (NF) -2020, Distant future (DF)-2050 and Very Distant future (VDF)— 2080. It is predicted that more generations would occur during the three future climate periods with significant variation among scenarios and models. Among the seven models, 1–2 additional generations were predicted during DF and VDF due to higher future temperatures in CNRM-CM3, ECHams5 & CSIRO-Mk3.5 models. The temperature projections of these models indicated that the generation time would decrease by 18–22% over baseline. Analysis of variance (ANOVA) was used to partition the variation in the predicted number of generations and generation time of S. litura on peanut during crop season. Geographical location explained 34% of the total variation in number of generations, followed by time period (26%), model (1.74%) and scenario (0.74%). The remaining 14% of the variation was explained by interactions. Increased number of generations and reduction of generation time across the six peanut growing locations of India suggest that the incidence of S. litura may increase due to projected increase in temperatures in future climate change periods. |
Description: | Not Available |
ISSN: | Not Available |
Type(s) of content: | Research Paper |
Sponsors: | Not Available |
Language: | English |
Name of Journal: | PLOS One |
NAAS Rating: | 8.74 |
Volume No.: | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0116762. 10(2): |
Page Number: | 1-12. |
Name of the Division/Regional Station: | Division of Crop Sciences |
Source, DOI or any other URL: | Not Available |
URI: | http://krishi.icar.gov.in/jspui/handle/123456789/60451 |
Appears in Collections: | NRM-CRIDA-Publication |
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