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http://krishi.icar.gov.in/jspui/handle/123456789/42465| Title: | Prospects of livestock and dairy production in India under time series framework |
| Other Titles: | Not Available |
| Authors: | R. K. Paul W. Alam A. K. Paul |
| ICAR Data Use Licennce: | http://krishi.icar.gov.in/PDF/ICAR_Data_Use_Licence.pdf |
| Author's Affiliated institute: | ICAR::Indian Agricultural Statistics Research Institute |
| Published/ Complete Date: | 2014-04-01 |
| Project Code: | Not Available |
| Keywords: | ARIMA Model Forecasting Milk production Stationarity Trend |
| Publisher: | Not Available |
| Citation: | Not Available |
| Series/Report no.: | Not Available; |
| Abstract/Description: | Share of livestock sector especially dairy production in total gross domestic product (GDP) has shown a continuousrise trend over the last 30 years. Autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) methodology was applied formodeling and forecasting of milk production of India. Auto-correlation (AC) and partial auto-correlation (PAC)functions were estimated, which led to the identification and construction of ARIMA models, suitable in explainingthe time series and forecasting the future production. A significant increasing linear trend in the total milk productionin India was found. To this end, evaluation of forecasting is carried out with mean absolute prediction error (MAPE),relative mean absolute prediction error (RMAPE) and root mean square error (RMSE). The best identified modelfor the data under consideration was used for out-of-sample forecasting up to 2015 |
| Description: | Not Available |
| ISSN: | Not Available |
| Type(s) of content: | Research Paper |
| Sponsors: | Not Available |
| Language: | English |
| Name of Journal: | Indian Journal of Animal Sciences |
| NAAS Rating: | 6.28 |
| Volume No.: | 84(4) |
| Page Number: | 130-134 |
| Name of the Division/Regional Station: | Not Available |
| Source, DOI or any other URL: | Not Available |
| URI: | http://krishi.icar.gov.in/jspui/handle/123456789/42465 |
| Appears in Collections: | AEdu-IASRI-Publication |
Files in This Item:
| File | Description | Size | Format | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pauletal_IJAS_Milk.pdf | 293.34 kB | Adobe PDF | View/Open |
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