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http://krishi.icar.gov.in/jspui/handle/123456789/51188| Title: | Modelling Food Grain Production in Perspective of Climate Change |
| Other Titles: | Not Available |
| Authors: | Manoj Kumar, Subrat Keshori Behera and V Bhushana Babu |
| ICAR Data Use Licennce: | http://krishi.icar.gov.in/PDF/ICAR_Data_Use_Licence.pdf |
| Author's Affiliated institute: | ICAR::Central Institute of Agricultural Engineering |
| Published/ Complete Date: | 2017-01-01 |
| Project Code: | Not Available |
| Keywords: | Climate change, Food grain production, Fertilizer, Structural time series model, Malthus model |
| Publisher: | Not Available |
| Citation: | Not Available |
| Series/Report no.: | Not Available; |
| Abstract/Description: | In the present paper, time series data on rainfall, fertilizer consumption and food grain production have been analyzed and studied and food grain production have been modelled using structural time series modelling. It was found that both monsoon as well as annual rainfall was not following uniform distribution. Also, a decreasing trend in fertilizer response was observed. The structural time series model was fitted and the food grain production was forecasted using the fitted model. It was forecasted that in 2016, the total food grain production will be 266.66 million tones with 95 % confidence interval (244.99-288.33). |
| Description: | Not Available |
| ISSN: | Not Available |
| Type(s) of content: | Journal |
| Sponsors: | Not Available |
| Language: | English |
| Name of Journal: | Indian Journal of Ecology |
| NAAS Rating: | 5.79 |
| Volume No.: | 44(SPECIAL ISSUE 4) |
| Page Number: | 224-226 |
| Name of the Division/Regional Station: | Not Available |
| Source, DOI or any other URL: | Not Available |
| URI: | http://krishi.icar.gov.in/jspui/handle/123456789/51188 |
| Appears in Collections: | AEng-CIAE-Publication |
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