Simulation of leaf folder, Cnaphalocrocis medinalis (Guenee), damage on rice for developing decision support tools

Abstract

Simulation models are synonymous with the application of the systems approach in pest management and help to formulate decision support tools for an effective decision-making. A study was undertaken to improve our earlier work on simulation of rice leaf folder (Cnaphalocrocis medinalis) damage and to develop decision support tools for its management. Currently, the leaf folder damage on Pusa Basmati1 rice was simulated with data sets generated in two field experiments during the rainy season 2008 and 2009. Simulated yields and total dry matter in different treatments over the experiments were close to their observed counterparts, indicating an appropriate validation of the leaf folder damage mechanisms on Pusa Basmati1 rice. The leaf folder economic injury levels were simulated based on control expenditure on application of cartap hydrochloride 50SP and quinalphos 25SC, and market price of Pusa Basamti1. The simulated economic injury levels of the leaf folder were more precise than that simulated in our previous study. Likewise, iso-loss curves represented combinations of crop age and the leaf folder damage that resulted in a similar yield loss. These decision support tools would facilitate accurate monitoring of the leaf folder damage to ensure judicious pesticide application.