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http://krishi.icar.gov.in/jspui/handle/123456789/8344| Title: | Performance evaluation of yield crop forecasting models using weather index regression analysis |
| Other Titles: | Not Available |
| Authors: | Sanjeev Panwar K.N. Singh Anil Kumar Ranjit Kumar Paul Susheel Kumar Sarkar Bishal Gurung Abhishek Rathore |
| ICAR Data Use Licennce: | http://krishi.icar.gov.in/PDF/ICAR_Data_Use_Licence.pdf |
| Author's Affiliated institute: | ICAR::Indian Agricultural Statistics Research Institute ICRISAT, Hyderabad |
| Published/ Complete Date: | 2017-02-01 |
| Project Code: | Not Available |
| Keywords: | Forecasting Nonlinear regression model Weather indices approach Weather variables |
| Publisher: | Indian Council of Agricultural Research, New Delhi |
| Citation: | Panwar, Sanjeev, Singh, K.N., KumarAnil, Paul, R.K., Sarkar, S.K., Gurung, Bishal and Rathore Abhishek (2017) 2Performance evaluation of yield crop forecasting models using weather index regression analysis. Indian Journal of Agricultural Sciences 87 (2): 270 |
| Series/Report no.: | Not Available; |
| Abstract/Description: | A crop forecast is a statement of the most likely magnitude of yield or production of a crop. It is made on the basis of known facts on a given date and it assumes that the weather conditions and damages during the remainder of the growing season will be about the same as the average of previous year. The present paper deals with use of non-linear regression analysis for developing wheat yield forecast model for Allahabad district (India). A novel statistical approach attempted in this study to use nonlinear models with different weather variables and their indices and compare them to identify a suitable forecasting model. Time series yield data of 40 years (1970-2010) and weather data for the year 1970-71 to 2009-10 have been utilized. The models have been used to forecast yield in the subsequent three years 2008-09 to 2009-10 (which were not included in model development). The approach provided reliable yield forecast about two months before harvest |
| Description: | Not Available |
| ISSN: | Not Available |
| Type(s) of content: | Research Paper |
| Sponsors: | Not Available |
| Language: | English |
| Name of Journal: | Indian Journal of Agricultural Sciences |
| NAAS Rating: | 6.21 |
| Volume No.: | 87(2) |
| Page Number: | 270-272 |
| Name of the Division/Regional Station: | Not Available |
| Source, DOI or any other URL: | http://epubs.icar.org.in/ejournal/index.php/IJAgS/article/view/67673/28873 |
| URI: | http://krishi.icar.gov.in/jspui/handle/123456789/8344 |
| Appears in Collections: | AEdu-IASRI-Publication |
Files in This Item:
| File | Description | Size | Format | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67673-169882-1-SM.pdf | 945.28 kB | Adobe PDF | View/Open |
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