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SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL BEHAVIOUR OF ARRIVALS AND PRICES OF GROUNDNUT AND SUNFLOWER IN ANDHRA PRADESH

KrishiKosh

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Title SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL BEHAVIOUR OF ARRIVALS AND PRICES OF GROUNDNUT AND SUNFLOWER IN ANDHRA PRADESH
 
Creator SREEKANTH MODI
 
Contributor RAGHU RAM, P
 
Subject markets, marketing, groundnuts, forecasting, selection, seasons, biological phenomena, economics, productivity, fruits
ANDHRA PRADESH, GROUNDNUT, SUNFLOWER
 
Description The present study “Spatial and Temporal Behaviour of Arrivals and
Prices of Groundnut and Sunflower in Andhra Pradesh” was mainly aimed at
to study the trend, seasonal fluctuations in arrivals and prices of groundnut and
sunflower in major markets of Andhra Pradesh, study the response of prices on
arrivals, forecast the prices of groundnut and sunflower and analyze the market
integration with respect to prices of selected crops. For the present study, a
multi-stage purposive sampling was adopted. The seven markets selected for
the study were Kurnool, Adoni, Badepalli, Yemignur, Kadapa, Gadwal and
Karimnagar for groundnut and Kurnool, Adoni, Badepalli, Yemignur, Kadapa,
Gadwal and Siddipet for sunflower. The data pertained to the period from 2001
to 2010. Apart from using simple linear trend method, twelve months ratio to
moving average method and regression analysis, ARIMA model were also
used.
There was an increasing trend in the prices of groundnut. The annual
increase in prices of groundnut was found to be highest in Karimnagar market.
In respect of sunflower also there was an increasing trend in the prices in all
the selected markets and were found to be highly significant.
The arrivals of groundnut were found to be highest in November and
December as revealed by the indices in Adoni market. Highest arrivals of
sunflower as revealed by the corresponding indices were in January in Adoni
market.
In Adoni market highest seasonal index was found in November for
groundnut and lowest index was recorded in January.
In Adoni market for sunflower the seasonal index was maximum in
November. Badepalli market witnessed peak price index in August.
The coefficient of multiple correlation (R2) was 0.64 in Kurnool market
duly revealing that the independent variable, price contributed 64 per cent of
change in arrivals of groundnut and was found statistically significant.
Highest R2 of 0.68 was found in Kurnool market, duly depicting that
independent variable, price contributed 68 per cent of change in arrivals of
sunflower.
The results of ARIMA model indicated the price range from Rs 3125 to
Rs 2946 per quintal of groundnut pods in the selected markets for the period
from July to December, 2010.
The results of price forecast of sunflower indicated that they would
range from Rs 1863 to Rs 2896 per quintal from July to December.
When the forecasts were compared with the real time prices it was
double exponential smoothing model which was found better in respect of
majority of the markets viz., Adoni, Kadapa, Gadwal and Karimnagar for
groundnut. In respect of sunflower forecasts the results obtained through single
exponential smoothing model were close with the real time price for Adoni,
Badepalli, Gadwal and Yemignur markets.
There existed highest market integration between Karimnagar and
Kurnool markets for groundnut and Yemignur and Badepalli markets for
sunflower. In the case of groundnut lowest integration was between Badepalli
and Kadapa and for sunflower it was between Adoni and Badepalli markets.
Compared to groundnut markets, sunflower markets were better integrated.
 
Date 2016-06-02T13:33:16Z
2016-06-02T13:33:16Z
2010-11
 
Type Thesis
 
Identifier http://krishikosh.egranth.ac.in/handle/1/66636
 
Language en
 
Relation D8959;
 
Format application/pdf
 
Publisher ACHARYA N.G. RANGA AGRICULTURAL UNIVERSITY