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A model of lineage-1 and lineage-2 rinderpest virus transmission in pastoral areas of East Africa

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Title A model of lineage-1 and lineage-2 rinderpest virus transmission in pastoral areas of East Africa
 
Creator Mariner, Jeffrey C.
McDermott, John J.
Heesterbeek, J.A.P.
Catley, A.
Roeder, P.
 
Subject RINDERPEST
MORBILLIVIRUS
DISEASE TRANSMISSION
PASTURES
EAST AFRICA
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
EPIDEMIOLOGY
POLICIES
REPRODUCTION
PROGENY
 
Description The development of a stochastic, state-transition model of rinderpest transmission dynamics is described using parameter estimates obtained from both laboratory and participatory research. Using serological data, the basic reproduction numbers for lineage-1 rinderpest virus in southern Sudan and for lineage-2 rinderpest virus in Somali livestock were estimated as 4.4 and between 1.2 and 1.9, respectively. The model predictions for the inter-epidemic period in Sudan and Somalia (1.2 and 4.2 years, respectively) were in agreement with analysis of livestock-owner reports (1-2 years and 5 years, respectively).
 
Date 2013-07-03T05:26:06Z
2013-07-03T05:26:06Z
2005
 
Type Journal Article
 
Identifier Preventive Veterinary Medicine;69(3-4): 245-263
0167-5877
http://hdl.handle.net/10568/33126
 
Language en
 
Source Preventive Veterinary Medicine