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The application of decision analysis modelling for investment targeting

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Title The application of decision analysis modelling for investment targeting
 
Creator Luedeling, Eike
 
Contributor Shepherd, Keith
de Leeuw, Jan
Downie, Katharine
 
Description In June of 2013, the Technical Consortium for Building Resilience in the Horn of Africa (TC) hosted a three-day workshop to convene key experts. The purpose of this meeting was to further examine the potential for application of decision analysis tools in measuring impact of investment, prioritization of investment and assessment of return on investment with respect to resilience.
A pilot decision model (preferably for a portfolio of investment alternatives) was developed, with the aim of documenting the model and approach and providing a report by December 2013.
The meeting focused on the following key activities:
1.1. Exposing the group to the Applied Information Economics Methods
(0.5 day instruction).
1.2. Clarifying the decision problems to be addressed drawing on country
plans. Chose one pilot decision problem for developing and
demonstrating the overall approach (1 day).
1.3. Defining dimensions of resilience in relation to the decision problems
and identifying variables to measure them (1 day)
1.4. Defining important variables for the models.
2. Identifying a core group (including relevant stakeholders) who will
contribute to further model development and provision of estimates.
3. Providing calibration training to the modeling group and anyone who
will be providing estimates.
4. Developing a pilot decision model (preferably for a portfolio of investment
alternatives) to further develop the approach. Document the model and
approach into a report.
Following the workshop, an exercise was undertaken to employ the decision analysis modeling methodology presented in the meeting in prioritization of decisions for investments or projects in the Horn of Africa. This approach is described in the following terms of reference.
 
Date 2014-11-30
2017-01-05T19:43:43Z
2017-01-05T19:43:43Z
 
Type Report
 
Identifier https://cgspace.cgiar.org/handle/handle.net/10568/65217
https://mel.cgiar.org/reporting/download/hash/UWCmwjFc
Eike Luedeling, Keith Shepherd, Jan de Leeuw, Katharine Downie. (30/11/2014). The application of decision analysis modelling for investment targeting. Nairobi, Kenya: World Agroforestry Center (ICRAF).
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11766/5327
Open access
 
Language en
 
Rights CC-BY-NC-4.0
 
Format PDF
 
Publisher World Agroforestry Center (ICRAF)
 
Source Report 10 (2014)