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Turkey's Long-Term Electricity Consumption Forecast

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Title Turkey's Long-Term Electricity Consumption Forecast
 
Creator Emec, S
Akkaya, G
 
Subject Demand estimation
Electricity demand
Forecasting
Regression analysis
 
Description 1336-1341
Demand forecasting is essential primarily for planning. Although it is crucial in many sectors and issues, it has particular
importance for electricity. Therefore, the issue of electricity consumption forecasting has recently become a prevalent topic.
In light of the above, this study aimed to develop an appropriate model to estimate the long-term electricity consumption of
Turkey. The study consists of three steps. In the first step, eight models were developed to separately investigate the effects
of eight input variables frequently used in electricity consumption forecasting studies in the literature. In the second step of
the study, two models consisting of input variables with high impact in the first step were developed, and the trained
performances of the developed models were calculated by using the regression analysis. In the final step, the combined
effect of eight variables on electricity consumption forecasting was investigated using regression analysis. It can be
conclude that the model in the third step showed significant results, and the model performance was good. Finally, Turkey's
electricity consumption forecast for the years 2020–2030 was performed using the model in the third step.
 
Date 2022-12-07T11:27:16Z
2022-12-07T11:27:16Z
2022-12
 
Type Article
 
Identifier 0022-4456 (Print); 0975-1084 (Online)
http://nopr.niscpr.res.in/handle/123456789/60999
https://doi.org/10.56042/jsir.v81i12.40731
 
Language en
 
Publisher NIScPR-CSIR,India
 
Source JSIR Vol.81(12) [December 2022]