Record Details

Modelling and Forecasting Wheat Production in Punjab State of India using Hierarchical Time Series Models

KRISHI: Publication and Data Inventory Repository

View Archive Info
 
 
Field Value
 
Title Modelling and Forecasting Wheat Production in Punjab State of India using Hierarchical Time Series Models
Not Available
 
Creator Monika Devi
Pradeep Mishra
Soumen Pal
Kanchan Sinha
Chetna
 
Subject Bottom Up
Forecasting
Middle Out
Wheat
 
Description Not Available
Due to the importance of wheat crop and Punjab being the leading wheat producer, this paper considers hierarchical time series data on wheat production in Punjab. The Punjab state wheat production data is organized in a hierarchy based on geographical regions. Topdown, bottom-up, middle-out, and optimal-combination approaches were used along with single series forecasting. An analysis of forecast performance shows that bottom-up approach outperforms other methods in terms of RMSE and MAE in out of sample forecast horizon. Finally, the state of Punjab has forecasted wheat production from 2019 to 2023 using a bottom-up approach.
Not Available
 
Date 2023-01-06T09:09:36Z
2023-01-06T09:09:36Z
2022-12-01
 
Type Research Paper
 
Identifier Not Available
0304-5250
http://krishi.icar.gov.in/jspui/handle/123456789/75489
 
Language English
 
Relation Not Available;
 
Publisher The Indian Ecological Society