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Climate risk perceptions and perceived yield loss increases agricultural technology adoption in the polder areas of Bangladesh

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Title Climate risk perceptions and perceived yield loss increases agricultural technology adoption in the polder areas of Bangladesh
 
Creator Ahmed, Z.
Shew, A. M.
Mondal, M. K.
Yadav, S.
Jagadish, S. V. K.
Prasad, P. V. V.
Buisson, Marie-Charlotte
Das, M.
Bakuluzzaman, M.
 
Subject climate change adaptation
risk analysis
sustainable agriculture
sustainable intensification
technology
strategies
polders
coastal areas
yield losses
flooding
drought
salinity
infestation
farmers
socioeconomic environment
livelihoods
 
Description The effects of climate change are likely to increase the frequency of flood, drought, and salinity events in the coastal areas of Bangladesh, posing many challenges for agrarian communities. Sustainable intensification in the form of improved agricultural management practices and new technologies may help farmers cope with stress and adapt to changing conditions. In this study, we explore how climate change perceptions of agricultural risk affect adaptation to climate change through technology adoption in a unique landscape: the polders of Bangladesh. In 2016, a survey was conducted in 1003 households living on these artificial, leveed islands facing the Bay of Bengal. We analyzed the responses from polder residents to construct a climate risk index which quantifies climate risk perception in this highly vulnerable agrarian landscape. We analyzed how polder demographics influence their perceptions about climatic change using seemingly unrelated regression (SUR). Further, by using three bivariate probit regression models, we estimated how the perception of climate risk drives the differential adoption of new agricultural technologies. Our findings show that farmers perceive polder agriculture as highly vulnerable to four environmental change factors: flooding, drought, salinity, and pest infestation. The SUR model suggests that farmer demographics, community group memberships, and access to different inputs and services strongly influence climatic risk perceptions. Findings also suggest that polder farmers with higher risk perceptions have a higher propensity to adopt both chemical and mechanical adaptation strategies. Cost, however, limits the ability of farmers to adopt improved technologies, suggesting an opportunity for institution-led approaches.
 
Date 2022-07-08
2022-07-26T02:58:42Z
2022-07-26T02:58:42Z
 
Type Journal Article
 
Identifier Ahmed, Z.; Shew, A. M.; Mondal, M. K.; Yadav, S.; Jagadish, S. V. K.; Prasad, P. V. V.; Buisson, Marie-Charlotte; Das, M.; Bakuluzzaman, M. 2022. Climate risk perceptions and perceived yield loss increases agricultural technology adoption in the polder areas of Bangladesh. Journal of Rural Studies, 94:274-286. [doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jrurstud.2022.06.008]
0743-0167
https://hdl.handle.net/10568/120298
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0743016722001528/pdfft?md5=978a8c61ab73c444502170380e72e0d7&pid=1-s2.0-S0743016722001528-main.pdf
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jrurstud.2022.06.008
Variability, Risks and competing uses
H051300
 
Language en
 
Rights CC-BY-NC-ND-4.0
Open Access
 
Format 94:274-286.
 
Source Journal of Rural Studies