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Revisiting poverty trends and the role of social protection systems in Africa during the COVID-19 pandemic: Working Paper

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Title Revisiting poverty trends and the role of social protection systems in Africa during the COVID-19 pandemic: Working Paper
 
Creator Abay, Kibrom A.
Yonzan, Nishant
Kurdi, Sikandra
Tafere, Kibrom
 
Subject coronavirus
coronavirus disease
coronavirinae
covid-19
poverty
data
surveys
social welfare
income
fragility
conflict
violence
evidence
programmes
 
Description Quantifying the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on poverty in Africa has been as difficult as predicting the path of the pandemic, mainly due to data limitations. The advent of new data sources, including national accounts and phone survey data, provides an opportunity for a thorough reassessment of the impact of the pandemic and the subsequent expansion of social protection systems on the evolution of poverty in Africa. This paper combines per capita gross domestic product growth from national accounts with data from High-Frequency Phone Surveys for several countries to estimate the net impact of the pandemic on poverty. It finds that the pandemic increased poverty in Africa by 1.5–1.7 percentage points in 2020, relatively smaller than early estimates and projections. The paper also finds that countries affected by fragility, conflict, and violence experienced the greatest increases in poverty, about 2.1 percentage points in 2020. Furthermore, the paper assesses and synthesizes empirical evidence on the role that social protection systems played in mitigating the adverse impact of the COVID-19 crisis in Africa. It reviews social protection responses in various African countries, mainly focusing on the impact of these programs and effectiveness of targeting systems. Although the evidence base on the protective role of social protection programs during the pandemic remains scarce, the paper highlights important findings on the impacts of these programs while also uncovering some vulnerabilities in social protection programming in Africa. Finally, the paper draws important lessons related to the delivery, targeting, and impact of various social protection programs launched in Africa in response to the pandemic.
 
Date 2022-09-01
2023-01-16T15:21:17Z
2023-01-16T15:21:17Z
 
Type Working Paper
 
Identifier Abay, Kibrom A.; Yonzan, Nishant; Kurdi, Sikandra; and Tafere, Kibrom. 2022. Revisiting poverty trends and the role of social protection systems in Africa during the COVID-19 pandemic: Working Paper. Policy Research Working Papers 10172. http://hdl.handle.net/10986/38014
https://hdl.handle.net/10568/127214
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/38014
 
Language en
 
Rights CC-BY-3.0-IGO
Open Access
 
Format application/pdf
 
Source Policy Research Working Papers