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Seeds of good anthropocenes: developing sustainability scenarios for Northern Europe

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Title Seeds of good anthropocenes: developing sustainability scenarios for Northern Europe
 
Creator Raudsepp-Hearne, Ciara
Peterson, Garry D
Bennett, Elena M.
Biggs, Reinette
Norström, Albert V
Pereira, Laura
Vervoort, Joost M.
Iwaniec, David M
McPhearson, Timon
Olsson, Philip
Hichert, Tanja
Falardeau, Marianne
Jiménez Aceituno, Amanda
 
Subject climate change
agriculture
food security
ecology
 
Description Scenario development helps people think about a broad variety of possible futures; however, the global environmental change community has thus far developed few positive scenarios for the future of the planet and humanity. Those that have been developed tend to focus on the role of a few common, large-scale external drivers, such as technology or environmental policy, even though pathways of positive change are often driven by surprising or bottom-up initiatives that most scenarios assume are unchanging. We describe an approach, pioneered in Southern Africa and tested here in a new context in Northern Europe, to developing scenarios using existing bottom-up transformative initiatives to examine plausible transitions towards positive, sustainable futures. By starting from existing, but marginal initiatives, as well as current trends, we were able to identify system characteristics that may play a key role in sustainability transitions (e.g., gender issues, inequity, governance, behavioral change) that are currently under-explored in global environmental scenarios. We suggest that this approach could be applied in other places to experiment further with the methodology and its potential applications, and to explore what transitions to desirables futures might be like in different places.
 
Date 2020-03
2020-03-13T15:30:31Z
2020-03-13T15:30:31Z
 
Type Journal Article
 
Identifier Raudsepp-Hearne C, Peterson GD, Bennett EM, Biggs R, Norström AV, Pereira L, Vervoort J, Iwaniec DM, McPhearson T, Olsson P, Hichert T, Falardeau M. Jiménez Aceituno A. 2020. Seeds of good anthropocenes: developing sustainability scenarios for Northern Europe. Sustainability science 15:605-617.
1862-4065
https://hdl.handle.net/10568/107763
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-019-00714-8
PII-FP1_Scenarios
 
Language en
 
Rights CC-BY-4.0
Open Access
 
Format 605-617
 
Publisher Springer Science and Business Media LLC
 
Source Sustainability Science