Current guidance underestimates risk of global environmental change to food security
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Title |
Current guidance underestimates risk of global environmental change to food security
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Creator |
Myer, Samuel
Fanzo, Jessica Wiebe, Keith D. Huybers, Peter Smith, Matthew R. |
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Subject |
policies
food security crop modelling climate change biophysics nutrition health food production anthropogenic factors temperature precipitation mathematical models |
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Description |
Over the past several years many global reports and scientific articles have offered guidance to policy makers on how climate change is likely to affect global food security. But these publications paint an incomplete, and likely overly optimistic, picture of the threat that anthropogenic environmental change poses to food production, nutrition, and health. Projected effects of climate change on food security are often based on crop models that incorporate only a few dimensions of climate related biophysical change—usually characterized by changes in temperature and precipitation. Omitted from these mathematical models are other biophysical changes related to a disrupted climate system and, importantly, other anthropogenic biophysical changes that are also likely to affect the quality or quantity of food the world can produce.
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Date |
2022-09-29
2023-01-16T15:21:18Z 2023-01-16T15:21:18Z |
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Type |
Journal Article
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Identifier |
Myer, Samuel; Fanzo, Jessica; Wiebe, Keith D.; Huybers, Peter; and Smith, Matthew. 2022. Current guidance underestimates risk of global environmental change to food security. BMJ: British Medical Journal 378: e071533. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj-2022-071533
1756-1833 https://hdl.handle.net/10568/127220 https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj-2022-071533 |
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Language |
en
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Rights |
CC-BY-NC-4.0
Open Access |
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Format |
e071533
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Publisher |
BMJ
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Source |
British Medical Journal
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