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Impacts of implementing the bottom-up economic plan of jobs, poverty, and food security in Kenya

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Title Impacts of implementing the bottom-up economic plan of jobs, poverty, and food security in Kenya
 
Creator Breisinger, Clemens
Diao, Xinshen
Kiriga, Benson
Laichena, Joshua
Mbuthia, Juneweenx
Ngugi, Rose
Omune, Lensa
Thurlow, James
 
Subject econonomics
modelling
poor
jobs
income
poverty alleviation
hunger
manufacturing
investments
exports
agriculture
 
Description This policy note presents results from an economy-wide model to assess the expected impacts of implementing the Bottom-Up Economic Plan in Kenya.
• The economywide modeling results suggest that the design of the Bottom-Up Economic Plan is consistent with its goals of achieving broad-based growth and benefiting the poor, particularly the poorest of the poor at the bottom of the pyramid.
• We estimate that 5 million jobs will be created, 5.5 million people will move out of poverty, and 2.9 million people will be lifted out of hunger by 2027 under the implementation of the Plan scenario, as compared to today.
• The structural transformation envisaged in the Plan is key for achieving higher middle-income status. Growth driven by productivity-enhancing private investments (especially in domestic manufacturing) and exports will lead to the acceleration of structural change.
• Growth led by the agricultural sector is far more effective at reducing poverty than a similar level of growth coming from nonagricultural sectors.
 
Date 2022-12-30
2023-01-13T18:34:01Z
2023-01-13T18:34:01Z
 
Type Other
 
Identifier Breisinger, Clemens; Diao, Xinshen; Kiriga, Benson; Laichena, Joshua; Mbuthia, Juneweenx; Ngugi, Rose; Omune, Lensa; and Thurlow, James. 2022. Impacts of implementing the bottom-up economic plan of jobs, poverty, and food security in Kenya. KIPPRA NPS Project Note December 2022. International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), CGIAR, Kenya Institute for Public Policy Research and Analysis.
https://hdl.handle.net/10568/127087
 
Language en
 
Relation KIPPRA NPS Project Note
 
Rights CC-BY-4.0
Open Access
 
Format application/pdf
 
Publisher International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), CGIAR, Kenya Institute for Public Policy Research and Analysis