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HMP-Coffee: A hierarchical multicriteria model to estimate the profitability for small coffee farming in Colombia

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Title HMP-Coffee: A hierarchical multicriteria model to estimate the profitability for small coffee farming in Colombia
 
Creator Casilimas, Leidy
Corrales, David Camilo
Solarte Montoya, Mayra
Rahn, Eric
Robin, Marie-Hélène
Aubertot, Jean-Noel
Corrales, Juan Carlos
 
Description Existing models to estimate profitability in small-scale coffee production are based on limited information leading to precision problems in the estimations and, therefore, fail to represent the real economic return. This leads smallholders to make decisions based on inaccurate information with negative consequences on their financial status. This paper introduces a novel hierarchical approach called HMP-Coffee (Hierarchical Model Profitability Coffee) to estimate the profitability level in small-scale coffee productions, supporting smallholders, in decision-making, to improve their income and, consequently, their economic sustainability. HMP-Coffee considers a Contextual Knowledge Phase, based on expert knowledge, to create a conceptual model about the profitability in small-scale coffee productions and a Hierarchical-Multicriteria Phase responsible for translating such a conceptual model into an understandable hierarchical qualitative model able to estimate the level of profitability in small coffee productions precisely. HMP-Coffee was developed by considering the La Sultana farm’s operation in Cauca, Colombia and evaluated with independent data from the Costa Rican Coffee Institute. In the evaluation results, HMP-Coffee achieved 81.72% accuracy, 81.33% precision, 92.30% recall, and 83.46% F-Score. From the results obtained, we conclude that HMP-Coffee is a reliable model to estimate the profitability of small-scale coffee production. Its reliability improves the decision-making for obtaining crops with better economic sustainability.
 
Date 2021-07-27
2021-08-09T15:06:54Z
2021-08-09T15:06:54Z
 
Type Journal Article
 
Identifier Casilimas, L.; Corrales, D.C.; Solarte Montoya, M.; Rahn, E.; Robin, M.-H.; Aubertot, J.-N.; Corrales, J.C. H (2021) HMP-Coffee: A hierarchical multicriteria model to estimate the profitability for small coffee farming in Colombia. Applied Sciences 11: 6880. ISSN: 2076-3417
2076-3417
https://hdl.handle.net/10568/114597
https://doi.org/10.3390/app11156880
 
Language en
 
Rights CC-BY-4.0
Open Access
 
Format application/pdf
 
Publisher MDPI AG
 
Source Applied Sciences