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Chinese Food Security and Climate Change: Agriculture Futures

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Title Chinese Food Security and Climate Change: Agriculture Futures
 
Creator Ye L
Tang H
Wu, Wenliang
Yang P
Nelson, Gerald C.
Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
Palazzo, Amanda
 
Subject climate
agriculture
food production
food security
 
Description Climate change is now affecting agriculture and food production in every country of the world. Here the authors present the IMPACT model results on yield, production, and net trade of major crops in China, and on daily calorie availability as an overall indicator of food security under climate change scenarios and socio-economic pathways in 2050. The obtained results show a relatively optimistic outlook on yield, production and trade toward 2050. The outcomes of calorie availability suggest that China will be able to maintain a level of at least 3,000 kilocalories per day through 2010 to 2050. Overall, Chinese agriculture is relatively resilient to climate change. It is unlikely that Chinese food security by 2050 will be compromised in the context of climate change. The major challenge to food security, however, will rise from increasing demand coupled with regional disparities in adaptive capacity to climate change.
 
Date 2014-12-01
2014-12-16T06:37:37Z
2014-12-16T06:37:37Z
 
Type Journal Article
 
Identifier Ye L, Tang H, Wu W, Yang P, Nelson GC, Mason-D’Croz D, Palazzo A. 2014. Chinese Food Security and Climate Change: Agriculture Futures. Economics 8(2014-1):1-39
1864-6042
https://hdl.handle.net/10568/52160
https://doi.org/10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2014-1
 
Language en
 
Rights CC-BY-4.0
Open Access
 
Publisher ZBW - German National Library of Economics
 
Source Economics