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Forecasting future prospects of fish and paddy production in Andhra Pradesh using VAR model. Journal of Experimental Zoology India

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Title Forecasting future prospects of fish and paddy production in Andhra Pradesh using VAR model. Journal of Experimental Zoology India
 
Creator Dhande Kranthi Kumar
Rama Sharma
Santhosha Rathod
V. Ramasubramanian
Nalini Ranjan Kumar
 
Subject Vector Autoregression model
diagnostic tools
fish
paddy production
agri
aqua zones
 
Description Not Available
The current study attempts to explore how aquaculture and paddy production are evolved over the years in Andhra
Pradesh (A.P.), India. These production systems are competing with one another in terms of resource utilisation especially in
West Godavari district of AP. Hence, trends and future prospect of fish and paddy production are simultaneously studied by
using VectorAutoregression (VAR) model. VAR model explains dynamic interrelationships among the variables and has been
found to be better than time series regression with lagged explanatory variables as indicated by diagnostic tools. Its outcome
indicates that fish production is influenced by the past values of fish. 11 (p=0.01) whereas, paddy production is influenced by
paddy. 11 (p=0.04) and Mean Average Percent Error values of fish and paddy are 28.37 and 5.42 respectively indicate the
variation between the actual and predicted values.Main cause for decreasing trend in paddy production has been found out as the
rising cost of cultivation and forms the basis of decline in net sown area. Since both the sectors are equally important, therefore,
it is suggested that blocks/mandals may be clearly earmarked into agri and aqua zones for their growth leading to nutritional
security and employment generation within the district and state.
Not Available
 
Date 2023-02-16T07:25:02Z
2023-02-16T07:25:02Z
2022-01-01
 
Type Article
 
Identifier Kranthi Kumar Dhande, Sharma Rama, Santosha Rathod, (2022) Ramasubramanian V, Ranjan Kumar Nalini. Forecasting future prospects of fish and paddy production in Andhra Pradesh using VAR model. Journal of Experimental Zoology India. 25(1). 891-896
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http://krishi.icar.gov.in/jspui/handle/123456789/76222
 
Language English
 
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