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Seasonal time series forewarning model for population dynamics of mango hopper (Hemiptera: Cicadellidae) in humid agro-climatic conditions

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Title Seasonal time series forewarning model for population dynamics of mango hopper (Hemiptera: Cicadellidae) in humid agro-climatic conditions
Not Available
 
Creator J. K. Bana, Jaipal Singh Choudhary, Sushil Kumar, P. D. Ghoghari, G. B. Kalaria, Himanshu Ramanlal Desai, S. J. Patil &
Prakash Patil
 
Subject Forewarning; climate; correlation; hoppers; seasonal; validation; weather parameters
 
Description Not Available
Mango hopper (Hemiptera: Cicadellidae) is serious and widespread monophagous pests of
mango, Mangifera indica L. in tropical and sub-tropical region of India. The present investigation
was carried out for weekly data interval of 20 consecutive years (1998–2017) to understand
the population dynamics of mango hoppers and developed good fit time series prediction
model for better management of hoppers in humid agro-climatic conditions. The relationship
between weather parameters and mango hopper population showed that maximum
temperature and relative humidity had significant effect on mango hopper population
dynamics. Time series seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model
was fitted from several plausible SARIMA models for forecasting the mango hoppers
population. A best-fit SARIMA (1, 0, 2) × (1, 1, 1)52 model within tolerable errors with fitted
comparative performance parameters in terms of root mean square error (RMSE), MSE, mean
absolute error (MAE) and MA percentage error (MAPE) parameters were observed. Forecasting
model develop in this study will predict mango hopper well in advance which can be used
for timely better management of hoppers in mango agro-ecosystem.
Not Available
 
Date 2023-04-13T08:37:47Z
2023-04-13T08:37:47Z
2021-12-11
 
Type Research Paper
 
Identifier J. K. Bana, Jaipal Singh Choudhary, Sushil Kumar, P. D. Ghoghari, G. B. Kalaria, Himanshu Ramanlal Desai, S. J. Patil & Prakash Patil (2021): Seasonal time series forewarning model for population dynamics of mango hopper (Hemiptera: Cicadellidae) in humid agro-climatic conditions, International Journal of Pest Management, DOI: 10.1080/09670874.2021.2019349
https://doi.org/10.1080/09670874.2021.2019349
http://krishi.icar.gov.in/jspui/handle/123456789/76858
 
Language English
 
Relation Not Available;
 
Publisher Not Available