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Looking in all the wrong places: A rationale for signal detection for pandemics based on existing data sources

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Title Looking in all the wrong places: A rationale for signal detection for pandemics based on existing data sources
 
Creator Dogra, A.E.K.
Munyasa, W.L.
Hung Nguyen-Viet
Grace, Delia
 
Subject one health approach
emerging diseases
pandemics
covid-19
 
Description Global surveillance systems did not detect the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic. We argue this is because the national surveillance systems which report to centralised systems are not designed to detect the emergence of novel infectious diseases. Likewise, substantial resources devoted to hunting for deadly new viruses in obscure places did not predict COVID-19. We suggest an alternative approach to make better use of baseline human mortality and morbidity data to detect anomalies, building on existing frameworks for data collection and standardisation and drawing on data from individual medical facilities. While most emerging diseases in humans originate in animals, focusing on animal surveillance may be an ignis fatuus, and detection should focus on human cases as early as possible after spillover. Animal-based surveillance for pandemic prevention is warranted for recurring outbreaks of known zoonotic pathogens when it can inform the detection of human cases. Further research is suggested in surveillance for pandemic preparedness utilising human baseline data, using available routine health data, as well as other data sources generated outside the health sector which could detect anomalies. The methodology is potentially highly cost effective, and applicable to low-and-middle income countries (LMICs). Data sources can be evaluated with historical data, where evidence of detection should be seen in the early stages of within-country spread of COVID-19.
 
Date 2023-08-09
2023-08-14T15:38:39Z
2023-08-14T15:38:39Z
 
Type Journal Article
 
Identifier Dogra, A.E.K., Munyasa, W.L., Hung Nguyen-Viet and Grace, D. 2023. Looking in all the wrong places: A rationale for signal detection for pandemics based on existing data sources. IJID One Health 100003.
2949-9151
https://hdl.handle.net/10568/131544
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijidoh.2023.100003
 
Language en
 
Rights CC-BY-NC-ND-4.0
Open Access
 
Format 100003
 
Source IJID One Health