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Climatic stresses and rural emigration in Guatemala

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Title Climatic stresses and rural emigration in Guatemala
 
Creator Britos, Braulio
Hernandez, Manuel A.
Puricelli, Estefania
Sahajpal, Ritvik
 
Subject migration
rural population
climate change
weather hazards
gender
households
agricultural production
 
Description International migration is a recurrent and growing phenomenon and a large share of emigrants originate from rural areas. This study examines the association between climatic stresses and rural emigration in Guatemala. We exploit variations on climatic stress situations and emigration flows at the subnational level and over time to examine whether the observed migration dynamics can be explained by the occurrence of specific adverse weather events. We find that drought periods affect emigration positively the following year, especially among men, while periods of high temperatures and low soil moisture affect male and female emigration negatively. The results are generally not much sensitive to alternative model specifications and estimations. The apparent mixed findings point to both direct effects where climatic stresses may encourage people to migrate in search of better opportunities, as well as indirect effects in the sense that climatic stresses affect agricultural productivity and household liquidity, which may prevent people from migrating despite their willingness to emigrate.
 
Date 2023
2023-10-23T19:36:32Z
2023-10-23T19:36:32Z
 
Type Report
 
Identifier Britos, Braulio; Hernandez, Manuel A.; Puricelli, Estefania; and Sahajpal, Ritvik. 2023. Climatic stresses and rural emigration in Guatemala. Project Note. Washington, DC; College Park MD: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI); NASA Harvest. https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.136920
https://hdl.handle.net/10568/132380
https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.136920
 
Language en
 
Relation https://doi.org/10.2499/9780896294417_07
https://ebrary.ifpri.org/digital/collection/p15738coll2/id/126854
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2103
https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.133849
 
Rights Copyrighted; all rights reserved
Open Access
 
Format 27 pages
 
Publisher IFPRI
NASA Harvest