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Applying co-integrated panel models to estimate long-term relationships between cattle production and greenhouse gas emissions for Latin America

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Title Applying co-integrated panel models to estimate long-term relationships between cattle production and greenhouse gas emissions for Latin America
 
Creator Sandoval, Danny F.
Junca, John Jairo
Enciso, Karen
Díaz, Manuel
Bravo, Aura
Burkart, Stefan
 
Subject cattle
greenhouse gas emissions
sustainability
cattle production
 
Description The cattle sector is key to the economy of several Latin American countries, however, it strongly contributes to environmental degradation through the emission of greenhouse gases and deforestation, among others. The objective of this study is to analyze the long- and short-term relationships of variables such as population growth, expansion of pastureland, and deforestation with cattle greenhouse gas emissions and beef and dairy production for 15 Latin American countries. Using information consolidated by FAOSTAT for the period between 1990-2019, a cointegrated panel method (Pooled Median Group) was applied, with which six specifications were estimated. The main results show that, in the long-term, a population growth of 1% decreases methane emissions derived from manure management in beef production by 1.41% and increases those derived from enteric fermentation by 0.97%. Likewise, a 1% expansion of pastureland increases methane emissions from manure management by 2.66% and decreases those related to enteric fermentation by 2.15%. The results indicate that at the aggregate level for the region there is evidence of stable long-term relations. This means that the effects population growth, the expansion of pastureland, and deforestation have on greenhouse gas emissions from cattle production tend to decrease over time. This long-term behavior may be marked by those countries that have a more developed cattle sector, aimed at reducing the impacts of cattle production on the environment, for example, by supporting the adoption of improved forage technologies, silvo-pastoral systems, grazing management practices, and regulatory frameworks and incentives. The cattle sector of these countries can be used as a regional benchmark and its lessons learned as inputs for sustainable intensification processes in countries with a developing cattle sector.
 
Date 2023-09-21
2023-10-26T09:48:33Z
2023-10-26T09:48:33Z
 
Type Presentation
 
Identifier Sandoval, D.; Junca, J.J.; Enciso, K.; Díaz, M.; Bravo, A.; Burkart, S. (2023) Applying co-integrated panel models to estimate long-term relationships between cattle production and greenhouse gas emissions for Latin America. Presentation prepared for Tropentag 2023 - Competing pathways for equitable food systems transformation: trade-offs and synergies. Berlin, Germany, 20-22 September 2023. Cali (Colombia): International Center for Tropical Agriculture. 8 sl.
https://hdl.handle.net/10568/132479
https://www.tropentag.de/abstract.php?abstractID=143
 
Language en
 
Relation Tropentag 2023
 
Rights CC-BY-4.0
Open Access
 
Format 8 sl.
application/pdf
 
Publisher International Center for Tropical Agriculture