| Description |
From Aristotle to Acemoglu and Robinson, scholars have argued that democracy possesses powerful redistributive impulses, and imperils itself accordingly. We challenge the validity of the redistributive model of democratic breakdown in the postcolonial worldâthe only cases where democracies have collapsed since World War IIâbecause its assumptions regarding state power are questionable or even inapplicable in postcolonial settings. Our correlative analysis of cross-sectional time series data from 139 countries between 1972 and 2007 indicates that, contrary to the expectations of the redistributive model, redistributive taxation is negatively associated with the incidence of military coups and the likelihood of democratic breakdown. Furthermore, authoritarian takeovers do not appear systematically to result in reduced redistribution from the rich. More ï¬ne-grained historical evidence from Southeast Asiaâa region where the redistributive model should be especially likely to hold trueâfurther afï¬rms that authoritarian seizures of power are neither inspired by successful redistributive policies nor followed by their reversal. Taken together, these quantitative and qualitative data offer signiï¬cant support for our central theoretical claim: contemporary democratic breakdowns have political origins in weak states, not economic origins in class conï¬ict.
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