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Replication data for: The causal eeffect of polls on turnout intention: A local randomization regression discontinuity approach

Harvard Dataverse (Africa Rice Center, Bioversity International, CCAFS, CIAT, IFPRI, IRRI and WorldFish)

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Title Replication data for: The causal eeffect of polls on turnout intention: A local randomization regression discontinuity approach
 
Identifier https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/LBEWBR
 
Creator Miller, Luis
Brugarolas, Pablo
 
Publisher Harvard Dataverse
 
Description This letter reports the results of a study that combined a unique natural experiment and a local randomization regression discontinuity approach to estimate the eeffect of polls on turnout intention. We found that the release of a poll increases turnout intention by 5%. This effect is robust to a number of falsification tests of predetermined covariates, placebo outcomes, and changes in the time window selected to estimate the effect. The letter discusses the advantages of the local randomization approach over the standard continuity based design to study important cases in political science where the running variable is discrete; a method that may expand the range of empirical topics that can be analyzed using regression discontinuity methods.
 
Subject Social Sciences
 
Contributor Miller, Luis