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Replication Data for: Identifying patterns in the structural drivers of intrastate conflict

Harvard Dataverse (Africa Rice Center, Bioversity International, CCAFS, CIAT, IFPRI, IRRI and WorldFish)

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Title Replication Data for: Identifying patterns in the structural drivers of intrastate conflict
 
Identifier https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/B2PLGD
 
Creator Moyer, Jonathan
Matthews, Austin
Rafa, Mickey
Xiong, Yutang
 
Publisher Harvard Dataverse
 
Description Quantitative methods have been used to a) better predict civil conflict onset and b)
understand causal mechanisms to informing policy intervention and theory. But an
exploration of individual conflict onset cases illustrates great variation in the
characteristics describing civil war onsets, suggesting that there is not one single set of
factors that lead to intrastate war. In this paper we use descriptive statistics to explore
persistent clusters in the drivers of civil war onset, finding evidence that some
arrangements of structural drivers cluster robustly across multiple model specifications
(such as young, poorly developed states with anocratic regimes). Additionally, we find
that approximately one-fifth of onset cases cannot be neatly clustered across models,
suggesting that these cases are difficult to predict and multiple methods for
understanding civil conflict onsets (and state failures more generally) may be
necessary.
 
Subject Social Sciences
civil conflict
clustering analysis
state failure
quantitative models
 
Language English
 
Contributor Xiong, Yutang