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Replication Data for: The Effective Power of Military Coalitions: A Unified Theoretical and Empirical Model

Harvard Dataverse (Africa Rice Center, Bioversity International, CCAFS, CIAT, IFPRI, IRRI and WorldFish)

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Title Replication Data for: The Effective Power of Military Coalitions: A Unified Theoretical and Empirical Model
 
Identifier https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/XOYEMU
 
Creator Kenkel, Brenton
Ramsay, Kristopher W.
 
Publisher Harvard Dataverse
 
Description We argue that the effective power of a coalition depends not only on its members’ raw
capabilities, but also how much effort they exert. Free-riding and competition between partners mean a coalition’s power is not the sum of its members’ power. We develop a unified model of crisis bargaining and war fighting between coalitions. Using data on the escalation and outcomes of international disputes, we structurally estimate the model parameters to identify determinants of countries’ force multipliers and audience costs. We find that demographic and economic characteristics are the most important determinants of military effectiveness, with regime type and geopolitical considerations playing lesser roles. The structural model also allows us to simulate counterfactual outcomes in disputes between coalitions. This allows us to test historical claims like that earlier American involvement would have made a substantial difference in both World Wars, even in the face of strategic free-riding by its allies
 
Subject Social Sciences
international conflict
military coalitions
game theory
structural estimation
 
Date 2024-02-27
 
Contributor Kenkel, Brenton