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Replication Data for: Austerity, Economic Vulnerability, and Populism

Harvard Dataverse (Africa Rice Center, Bioversity International, CCAFS, CIAT, IFPRI, IRRI and WorldFish)

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Title Replication Data for: Austerity, Economic Vulnerability, and Populism
 
Identifier https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/1OPRYA
 
Creator Baccini, Leonardo
Sattler, Thomas
 
Publisher Harvard Dataverse
 
Description Governments have repeatedly adjusted fiscal policy in recent decades. We examine the political effects of these adjustments in Europe since the 1990s using both district-level election outcomes and individual-level voting data. We expect austerity to increase populist votes, but only among economically vulnerable voters, who are hit the hardest by austerity. We identify economically vulnerable regions as those with a high share of low-skilled workers, workers in manufacturing and in jobs with a high routine-task intensity. The analysis of district-level elections demonstrates that austerity increases support for populist parties in economically vulnerable regions, but has little effect in less vulnerable regions. The individual-level analysis confirms these findings. Our results suggest that the success of populist parties hinges on the government’s failure to protect the losers of structural economic change. The economic origins of populism are thus not purely external; the populist backlash is triggered by internal factors, notably public policies.
 
Subject Social Sciences
Fiscal policy
Globalization
Political backlash
 
Date 2023-12-19
 
Contributor Baccini, Leonardo
 
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