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Quantifying the influence of climate, host and change in land-use patterns on occurrence of crimean congo hemorrhagic fever (CCHF) and development of spatial risk map for India

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Title Quantifying the influence of climate, host and change in land-use patterns on occurrence of crimean congo hemorrhagic fever (CCHF) and development of spatial risk map for India
Not Available
 
Creator Chanda MM
Kharkwal P
Dhuria M
Prajapathi A
Yogisharadhya R
Shome BR
Shivachandra SB
 
Subject Crimean Congo Hemorrhagic Fever
Risk map
Change in maximum temperature
Surveillance
Livestock hosts
One health
 
Description Not Available
Crimean Congo Hemorrhagic Fever (CCHF), is an emerging zoonosis globally and in India. The present study focused on identifying the risk factors for occurrence of CCHF in the Indian state of Gujarat and development of risk map for India. The past CCHF outbreaks in India were collated for the analyses. Influence of land use change and climatic factors in determining the occurrence of CCHF in Gujarat was assessed using Bayesian spatial models. Change in maximum temperature in affected districts was analysed to identify the significant change points over 110 years. Risk map was developed for Gujarat using Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) model with remotely sensed environmental variables and host (livestock and human) factors. We found the change in land use patterns and maximum temperature in affected districts to be contributing to the occurrence of CCHF in Gujarat. Spatial risk map developed using CCHF occurrence data for Gujarat identified density of buffalo, minimum land surface temperature and elevation as risk determinants. Further, spatial risk map for the
occurrence of CCHF in India was developed using selected variables. Overall, we found that combination of factors such as change in land-use patterns, maximum temperature, buffalo density, day time minimum land surface temperature and elevation led to the emergence and further spread of the disease in India. Mitigation measures for CCHF in India could be designed considering disease epidemiology and initiation of surveillance strategies based on the risk map developed in this study.
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Date 2024-03-05T12:29:30Z
2024-03-05T12:29:30Z
2023-08-03
 
Type Research Paper
 
Identifier 7. Chanda, M.M., Kharkwal, P., Dhuria, M., Prajapathi, A., Yogisharadhya, R., Shome, B.R. and Shivachandra, S.B., 2023. Quantifying the influence of climate, host and change in land-use patterns on occurrence of crimean congo hemorrhagic fever (CCHF) and development of spatial risk map for India. One Health, 17: 100609.
2352-7714
http://krishi.icar.gov.in/jspui/handle/123456789/81573
 
Language English
 
Relation Not Available;
 
Publisher Elsevier Publishers