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Replication Data for: Undercurrent in Taiwan: Nationalism and Calculation of the cross-strait Relations (2002-2022)

Harvard Dataverse (Africa Rice Center, Bioversity International, CCAFS, CIAT, IFPRI, IRRI and WorldFish)

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Title Replication Data for: Undercurrent in Taiwan: Nationalism and Calculation of the cross-strait Relations (2002-2022)
 
Identifier https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/WJ7RJT
 
Creator Wang, Austin
 
Publisher Harvard Dataverse
 
Description Paper conditionally accepted by Public Opinion Quarterly on Feb 10, 2024
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Undercurrent in Taiwan: Nationalism and Calculation of the cross-strait Relations (2002-2022)


Literature highlights the conflicting trends between rising nationalism and stable preferences on Cross-Strait relations in Taiwan. This article unveils new insights from the Taiwan National Security Survey (2002-2022, 14 waves, n = 16,494) to unravel this incompatibility. The survey employed “conditional preference” items to capture how Taiwanese people shape their Cross-Strait attitudes. Since 2002, Taiwanese identifiers have increased steadily, while dual identifiers have decreased. Most respondents still prefer the status quo, but there is a gradual rise in support for independence. Hypothetical scenarios reveal that a majority support independence if China will not attack, and oppose unification if China and Taiwan differ economically and politically. Furthermore, the percentage supporting independence given China will attack is increasing, while the percentage supporting unification if China and Taiwan are similar has considerably decreased. Conditional preferences are influenced by perceived economic benefits from China and the military strength of China, Taiwan, and the US.

Austin Horng-En Wang, Department of Political Science, University of Nevada, Las Vegas
Charles K. S. Wu, Department of Political Science and Criminal Justice, University of South Alabama
Fang-Yu Chen, Department of Political Science, Soochow University, Taiwan
Yao-Yuan Yeh, Department of International Studies & Modern Languages, University of St. Thomas, Houston
 
Subject Social Sciences
Taiwan politics
 
Date 2024-02-14
 
Contributor Wang, Austin