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Replication data for: Measuring the Consequences of Delegate Selection Rules in Presidential Nominations

Harvard Dataverse (Africa Rice Center, Bioversity International, CCAFS, CIAT, IFPRI, IRRI and WorldFish)

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Title Replication data for: Measuring the Consequences of Delegate Selection Rules in Presidential Nominations
 
Identifier https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/AJL7ZZ
 
Creator Ansolabehere, Stephen
King, Gary
 
Publisher Harvard Dataverse
 
Description Abstract: In this paper, we formalize existing normative criteria used to judge presidential selection contests by modeling the translation of citizen votes in primaries and caucuses into delegates to the national party conventions. We use a statistical model that enables us to separate the form of electoral responsiveness in presidential selection systems, as well as the degree of bias toward each of the candidates. We find that (1) the Republican nomination system is more responsive to changes in citizen votes than the Democratic system and (2) non-PR primaries are always more respo
nsive than PR primaries and (3) surprisingly, caucuses are more proportional than even primaries held under PR rules and (4) significant bias in favor of a candidate was a good prediction of the winner of the nomination contest. We also (5) evaluate the claims of Ronald Reagan in 1976 and Jesse Jackson in 1988 that the selection systems were substantially biased against their candidates. We find no evidence to support Reagan’s claim, but substantial evidence that Jackson was correct.


See also: Legislative Redistricting
 
Subject Social Sciences
 
Date 1990