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Unveiling the impacts of global uncertainties ITSA Approach for quantifying the impacts of Covid-19 on agricultural trade

Indian Agricultural Research Journals

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Title Unveiling the impacts of global uncertainties ITSA Approach for quantifying the impacts of Covid-19 on agricultural trade
 
Creator Raka Saxena
Purushottam Sharma
Devesh Kumar Pant
Ritambhara Singh
Satish Chandra Pant
Neha Joshi
 
Subject Agricultural trade
Interrupted time series
China
Covid-19
Castor oil
Fertilizers
 
Description The study quantifies the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on the bilateral agricultural trade between India and China using the Interrupted Time Series Analysis (ITSA) technique. India’s agricultural exports to China increased by approximately 48 per cent post-Covid-19. The post-pandemic, cumin exports to China increased significantly due to increasing health concerns. The exports of castor oil and groundnut shot up as well. Conversely, the exports of frozen fish, shrimps, and prawns declined. However, India’s agricultural imports from China, primarily fertilizers, displayed a volatile pattern. An immediate shock was observed in the case of urea and DAP imports, but the declines were not persistent for a long time.
 
Publisher Agricultural Economics Research Association (India)
 
Date 2024-08-08
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Peer-reviewed Article
 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier https://epubs.icar.org.in/index.php/AERR/article/view/154833
 
Source Agricultural Economics Research Review; Vol. 37 No. 1 (2024): Agricultural Economics Research Review; 35-46
0974-0279
0971-3441
 
Language eng
 
Relation https://epubs.icar.org.in/index.php/AERR/article/view/154833/55417